Purple Heart Lane
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (47 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 52
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-08-05 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-07-08 | | Won |
| 1069 | 932 | 69% | 2026-06-27 | | Won |
| 992 | 1015 | 47% | 2025-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1022 | 49% | 2025-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2024-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1290 | 16% | 2023-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2023-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2023-02-03 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2020-09-22 | | Won |
| 985 | 1006 | 47% | 2020-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1140 | 84% | 2019-12-27 | | Won |
| 912 | 1000 | 38% | 2019-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1228 | 21% | 2019-10-08 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-04-05 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-07-25 | | Lost |
| 980 | 845 | 69% | 2015-11-20 | | Won |
| 980 | 845 | 69% | 2015-11-20 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-11-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1180 | 1000 | 74% | 2015-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-07-30 | | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-05-15 | | Won |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-05-12 | | Won |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-05-03 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2014-04-03 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2012-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-05-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2011-11-09 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2010-12-01 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1033 | 61% | 2010-10-02 | | Lost |
| 913 | 1215 | 15% | 2009-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2009-11-10 | | Won |
| 1003 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2009-04-10 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2009-03-21 | | Won |
| 946 | 1019 | 40% | 2009-03-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2009-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2008-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 906 | 65% | 2008-07-22 | | Lost |
| 827 | 1000 | 27% | 2008-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-08-31 | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1035.7 vs 1020.4 has a 52.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).