Winter of Their Discontent
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (20 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (Italian / German): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-18 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-08-23 | Lost |
1178 | 949 | 79% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
820 | 820 | 50% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
1014 | 1070 | 42% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
961 | 964 | 50% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
1178 | 1053 | 67% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
1063 | 1215 | 29% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
995 | 995 | 50% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2013-01-09 | Lost |
1046 | 1272 | 21% | 2009-08-12 | Won |
1120 | 1117 | 50% | 2008-10-15 | Won |
1032 | 902 | 68% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
1017 | 970 | 57% | 2008-03-14 | Won |
1014 | 1198 | 26% | 2008-03-07 | Lost |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-10-30 | Lost |
1112 | 1023 | 63% | 2005-12-31 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.2 vs 1025.3 has a 50.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).