Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (16 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (Italian): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
920 | 929 | 49% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
1014 | 1307 | 16% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
938 | 982 | 44% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
979 | 1307 | 13% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
997 | 988 | 51% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
1067 | 1027 | 56% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
1037 | 1087 | 43% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
1204 | 973 | 79% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
1068 | 982 | 62% | 2012-06-27 | Lost |
925 | 1027 | 36% | 2011-06-09 | Lost |
989 | 1204 | 22% | 2010-05-30 | Lost |
1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
1029 | 963 | 59% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
994 | 987 | 51% | 2007-09-29 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1013.5 vs 1054.6 has a 44.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).