Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (24 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2025-08-31 | | Won |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2020-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-05-09 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1009 | 63% | 2017-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2017-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | 2016-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2016-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1092 | 58% | 2015-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1146 | 30% | 2014-12-07 | | Lost |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2013-06-28 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-09-19 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-06-18 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2012-05-03 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-11-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2008-11-27 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1019 | 76% | 2008-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1150 | 84% | 2008-09-06 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2008-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1344 | 12% | 2008-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2008-05-28 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2008-05-24 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2007-10-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1075.5 has a 46.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).