Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (24 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 947 | 53% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1003 | 1005 | 50% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1220 | 29% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1220 | 48% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1141 | 40% | 2016-02-27 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1088 | 57% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1135 | 29% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 1062 | 55% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 1161 | 37% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
| 959 | 1105 | 30% | 2012-05-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 1051 | 57% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
| 1143 | 987 | 71% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
| 1234 | 1015 | 78% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 1430 | 1150 | 83% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
| 1149 | 922 | 79% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 937 | 1343 | 9% | 2008-06-19 | Lost |
| 900 | 1118 | 22% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
| 1208 | 1037 | 73% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-01-29 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1060.7 vs 1089.3 has a 45.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).