Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (17 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
905 | 1284 | 10% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
890 | 1026 | 31% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
1066 | 965 | 64% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
1066 | 1207 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1208 | 1120 | 62% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
913 | 1083 | 27% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
975 | 913 | 59% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
1104 | 976 | 68% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
1105 | 1049 | 58% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
1068 | 1167 | 36% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
1080 | 1054 | 54% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
901 | 987 | 38% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
1288 | 1012 | 83% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
1311 | 1115 | 76% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
902 | 1075 | 27% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
1162 | 1037 | 67% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
1093 | 1030 | 59% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1064.7 has a 49.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).