Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (21 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 949 | 52% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 880 | 1217 | 13% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1045 | 1007 | 55% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1220 | 29% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1282 | 40% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1140 | 45% | 2016-02-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 1066 | 55% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 1161 | 37% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1053 | 57% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
| 1144 | 987 | 71% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
| 1252 | 1011 | 80% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 1423 | 1119 | 85% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
| 904 | 1117 | 23% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
| 1200 | 1037 | 72% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2008-01-29 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1036 | 60% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1077 vs 1084.3 has a 48.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).