Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (18 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1219 | 14% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1209 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1257 | 43% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1080 | 47% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 1090 | 51% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 1158 | 37% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1053 | 55% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
| 908 | 987 | 39% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
| 1310 | 1011 | 85% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 1412 | 1113 | 85% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
| 901 | 1111 | 23% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1029 | 59% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 1082.3 has a 50.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).