Acorns in the Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 919 | 1160 | 20% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 919 | 1160 | 20% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2008-02-08 | Won |
| 967 | 1099 | 32% | 2007-12-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 988.5 vs 1104.8 has a 33.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).