The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1032 | 55% | 2025-05-09 | Lost |
| 981 | 1135 | 29% | 2025-05-02 | Lost |
| 1006 | 971 | 55% | 2025-05-02 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1151 | 1176 | 46% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1112 | 40% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1044 | 1097 | 42% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 984 | 69% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 984 | 1125 | 31% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 976 | 63% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 979 | 65% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 984 | 1125 | 31% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1243 | 1019 | 78% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
| 1036 | 1026 | 51% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
| 1103 | 905 | 76% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
| 976 | 1186 | 23% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 987 | 71% | 2008-02-24 | Won |
| 1054 | 1057 | 50% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1018 | 1186 | 28% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1216 | 39% | 2007-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1060.5 has a 50.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).