The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1055 | 51% | 2025-05-09 | Lost |
| 927 | 920 | 51% | 2025-05-02 | Won |
| 986 | 1116 | 32% | 2025-05-02 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1264 | 1141 | 67% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 1110 | 40% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1089 | 1097 | 49% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1086 | 977 | 65% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1154 | 966 | 75% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 992 | 65% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1242 | 1018 | 78% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 1036 | 49% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 905 | 74% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
| 977 | 1189 | 23% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1189 | 28% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1056.2 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).