The Legrew Maneuver
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 115 (23 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 57
Defender wins (German): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2026-05-25 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2026-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1188 | 30% | 2026-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1195 | 1029 | 72% | 2026-02-27 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2021-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 941 | 83% | 2020-10-17 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2017-08-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2017-07-23 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-11-03 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1141 | 34% | 2012-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2011-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1039 | 56% | 2011-04-02 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2010-10-02 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1070 | 61% | 2008-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1150 | 50% | 2008-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2008-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2008-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2007-10-11 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1141 | 24% | 2007-10-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1082 vs 1047.1 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).