On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (23 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/British): 69
Defender wins (German): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1030 | 40% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 1000 | 999 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1116 | 1007 | 65% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1057 | 1106 | 43% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 999 | 1028 | 46% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 975 | 1029 | 42% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 995 | 1000 | 49% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1107 | 36% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1016 | 963 | 58% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1038 | 52% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 869 | 1017 | 30% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 1008 | 990 | 53% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 812 | 1120 | 15% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 915 | 915 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1110 | 52% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1163 | 1016 | 70% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1010.8 vs 1022.6 has a 48.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).