On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (24 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/British): 69
Defender wins (German): 65
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 991 | 53% | 2025-10-12 | Lost |
| 1255 | 975 | 83% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1018 | 1105 | 38% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1420 | 28% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1186 | 888 | 85% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1024 | 1088 | 41% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 959 | 1243 | 16% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1096 | 63% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 1089 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 879 | 72% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1045 | 50% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 947 | 1024 | 39% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 756 | 997 | 20% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1255 | 1009 | 80% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1259 | 22% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1342 | 1255 | 62% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 1073.8 has a 46.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).