On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 137 (26 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/British): 69
Defender wins (German): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 991 | 49% | 2025-10-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1061 | 66% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1017 | 1085 | 40% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1421 | 25% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1191 | 900 | 84% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 985 | 1087 | 36% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 985 | 1047 | 41% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1244 | 21% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1052 | 1133 | 39% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1121 | 60% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 995 | 1090 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 843 | 76% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1018 | 54% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 945 | 985 | 44% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1061 | 62% | 2009-01-31 | Lost |
| 750 | 997 | 19% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1008 | 72% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1343 | 20% | 2008-01-06 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1259 | 22% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1347 | 1174 | 73% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1082 has a 44.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).