On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (23 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/British): 69
Defender wins (German): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1216 | 1063 | 71% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 981 | 1032 | 43% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1018 | 1084 | 41% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1419 | 38% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1143 | 896 | 81% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1063 | 1090 | 46% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1063 | 1050 | 52% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1243 | 23% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1088 | 1133 | 44% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1100 | 62% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 1090 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 889 | 71% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 946 | 1063 | 34% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1012 | 1084 | 40% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 735 | 997 | 18% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1216 | 1005 | 77% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1284 | 19% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1342 | 1216 | 67% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1083.3 has a 45.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).