On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American/British): 8
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1073 | 42% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1062 | 81% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 922 | 78% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1073 | 1081 | 49% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 1035 | 55% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 917 | 1243 | 13% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1157 | 15% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 987 | 1075 | 38% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 889 | 71% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1056 | 54% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 945 | 1073 | 32% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 748 | 997 | 19% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1189 | 1010 | 74% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1272 | 20% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1285 | 1189 | 63% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.2 vs 1068 has a 47.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).