Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1176 | 29% | 2025-10-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 1164 | 26% | 2025-09-06 | Tied |
| 1256 | 951 | 85% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 904 | 1333 | 8% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1153 | 31% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 1145 | 45% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1148 | 969 | 74% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1091 | 69% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 989 | 1010 | 47% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 840 | 1050 | 23% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1140 | 31% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1075 | 39% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1075 | 36% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1050 | 38% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1111 | 46% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1030 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1084.1 has a 43.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).