Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1052 | 36% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 1303 | 1264 | 56% | 2025-11-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 1167 | 28% | 2025-10-02 | Lost |
| 966 | 1146 | 26% | 2025-09-06 | Tied |
| 1206 | 943 | 82% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 904 | 1234 | 13% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1175 | 28% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1151 | 1019 | 68% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 1195 | 22% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 839 | 1040 | 24% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1190 | 25% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1085 | 35% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 1040 | 41% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1095.2 has a 41.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).