Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (20 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2026-01-31 | | Won |
| 1317 | 1263 | 58% | 2025-11-28 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1209 | 24% | 2025-10-02 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1145 | 28% | 2025-09-06 | | Tied |
| 1258 | 959 | 85% | 2025-08-16 | | Won |
| 904 | 1219 | 14% | 2024-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2024-06-15 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2021-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-12-17 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-02-19 | | Won |
| 839 | 1090 | 19% | 2019-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2010-10-06 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2010-06-27 | | Won |
| 976 | 1167 | 25% | 2010-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2009-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2008-06-01 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2008-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1083 has a 44.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).