Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 980 | 58% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 1303 | 1283 | 53% | 2025-11-28 | Won |
| 1008 | 1248 | 20% | 2025-10-02 | Lost |
| 985 | 1123 | 31% | 2025-09-06 | Tied |
| 1282 | 950 | 87% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 904 | 1252 | 12% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1177 | 28% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1144 | 1143 | 50% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1151 | 969 | 74% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1012 | 991 | 53% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 840 | 1097 | 19% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1200 | 24% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1094 | 34% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1097 | 32% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1073 | 55% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1093.2 has a 43.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).