A Handful of Howdy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1078 | 42% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 1006 | 935 | 60% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1243 | 907 | 87% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1082 | 57% | 2022-02-09 | Won |
| 989 | 910 | 61% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1198 | 43% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 1012 | 51% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1016 | 49% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1038 | 46% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 840 | 79% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
| 1207 | 1257 | 43% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1257 | 1207 | 57% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1152 | 1202 | 43% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 969 | 59% | 2011-02-05 | Won |
| 1070 | 1177 | 35% | 2009-04-04 | Lost |
| 1123 | 919 | 76% | 2008-09-14 | Won |
| 1053 | 1012 | 56% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2007-10-15 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1072.4 vs 1034.2 has a 55.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).