A Handful of Howdy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2026-02-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1143 | 33% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 933 | 65% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1243 | 950 | 84% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1082 | 58% | 2022-02-09 | Won |
| 989 | 1066 | 39% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1058 | 63% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 980 | 1028 | 43% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 980 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 993 | 1019 | 46% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1013 | 980 | 55% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1058 | 840 | 78% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
| 1180 | 1256 | 39% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1256 | 1180 | 61% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1140 | 1204 | 41% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 1007 | 986 | 53% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1007 | 986 | 53% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1027 | 968 | 58% | 2011-02-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 1182 | 33% | 2009-04-04 | Lost |
| 1041 | 919 | 67% | 2008-09-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-28 | Lost |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2007-10-15 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1029.5 has a 56.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).