Freeing the Roadway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (12 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1219 | 29% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 967 | 949 | 53% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1041 | 43% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1073 | 56% | 2010-07-20 | Won |
| 1006 | 1159 | 29% | 2009-05-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1196 | 42% | 2008-11-06 | Won |
| 1065 | 997 | 60% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1108 | 48% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1103 | 43% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2007-11-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1062.5 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).