Freeing the Roadway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (10 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 20
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 896 | 988 | 37% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1064 | 1079 | 48% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1116 | 50% | 2010-07-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 1104 | 36% | 2009-05-18 | Lost |
| 1056 | 985 | 60% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 977 | 1108 | 32% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1087 | 45% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1067.3 has a 45.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).