Freeing the Roadway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (12 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1064 | 55% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 909 | 987 | 39% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 961 | 1060 | 36% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1064 | 57% | 2010-07-20 | Won |
| 1006 | 1115 | 35% | 2009-05-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1194 | 44% | 2008-11-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 996 | 56% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 965 | 1108 | 31% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1052 | 1086 | 45% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2007-11-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1041.7 has a 50.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).