Unexpected Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (4 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1056 | 58% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1031 | 72% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1006 | 72% | 2009-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1119.5 vs 1023.8 has a 63.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).