Unexpected Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (3 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1038 | 61% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1175 | 920 | 81% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1005 | 68% | 2009-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1142.3 vs 987.7 has a 70.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).