Unexpected Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (4 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1056 | 62% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1190 | 916 | 83% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1006 | 67% | 2009-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1119.5 vs 1000 has a 66.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).