Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (18 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1151 | 54% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1037 | 51% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1267 | 989 | 83% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 995 | 1000 | 49% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1217 | 963 | 81% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1183 | 1079 | 65% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 976 | 58% | 2014-06-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1133 | 44% | 2014-04-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 925 | 49% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1032 | 66% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1244 | 22% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1143 | 29% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1039 | 45% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
| 1147 | 1002 | 70% | 2010-01-14 | Won |
| 1236 | 1170 | 59% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1075 | 61% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1056 | 55% | 2007-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1091.3 vs 1055.3 has a 55.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).