Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1151 | 53% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1037 | 54% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1192 | 990 | 76% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 995 | 967 | 54% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1289 | 972 | 86% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1193 | 1079 | 66% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
| 905 | 976 | 40% | 2014-06-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2014-04-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 925 | 49% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
| 1145 | 905 | 80% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
| 937 | 982 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1146 | 29% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1080 | 44% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
| 1147 | 1037 | 65% | 2010-01-14 | Won |
| 1157 | 1159 | 50% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1067 | 62% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1056 | 55% | 2007-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1083.6 vs 1050.3 has a 54.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).