Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (18 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1151 | 54% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1037 | 52% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1281 | 989 | 84% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 995 | 1010 | 48% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1150 | 963 | 75% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1138 | 1098 | 56% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 976 | 51% | 2014-06-28 | Won |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2014-04-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 1040 | 33% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
| 1147 | 982 | 72% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1244 | 21% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1143 | 29% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1028 | 51% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
| 1148 | 1037 | 65% | 2010-01-14 | Won |
| 1178 | 1171 | 51% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1076 | 59% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1056 | 55% | 2007-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1080.7 vs 1062 has a 52.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).