The First Bid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1181 | 39% | 2024-12-12 | Lost |
| 927 | 1106 | 26% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 885 | 82% | 2012-07-08 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2008-04-20 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1054 vs 1068.8 has a 47.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).