Under Murderous Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (16 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1107 | 52% | 2019-07-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2018-06-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 931 | 68% | 2013-01-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Won |
| 998 | 1017 | 47% | 2012-07-17 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1030 | 52% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 998 | 1146 | 30% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1132 | 35% | 2008-11-11 | Won |
| 1074 | 996 | 61% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-07-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-07-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2008-06-27 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1044.5 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).