The Darkest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 1139 | 970 | 73% | 2018-03-31 | Won |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 879 | 1103 | 22% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-10-16 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1180 | 47% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2008-06-15 | Won |
| 827 | 980 | 29% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1423 | 9% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2008-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1087.9 has a 47.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).