Eviction Notice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 211 (43 on the archive and 168 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 111
Defender wins (German): 100
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 902 | 979 | 39% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 1088 | 58% | 2025-02-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1008 | 50% | 2024-01-25 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1229 | 26% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 994 | 46% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 1041 | 982 | 58% | 2021-01-21 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2018-10-11 | Won |
| 1005 | 996 | 51% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 967 | 942 | 54% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1084 | 945 | 69% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1107 | 40% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 950 | 54% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1192 | 33% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 980 | 1118 | 31% | 2017-11-15 | Lost |
| 786 | 1226 | 7% | 2017-07-12 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
| 980 | 1118 | 31% | 2015-12-04 | Lost |
| 968 | 1138 | 27% | 2015-09-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 1103 | 902 | 76% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1004 | 49% | 2014-03-04 | Lost |
| 933 | 870 | 59% | 2012-03-04 | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1283 | 934 | 88% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 976 | 1019 | 44% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-08-19 | Won |
| 985 | 951 | 55% | 2010-07-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 967 | 70% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
| 988 | 980 | 51% | 2009-05-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-01-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 1068 | 49% | 2009-01-25 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1269 | 21% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-04-22 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1423 | 9% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1027 | 49% | 2008-03-30 | Won |
| 1068 | 930 | 69% | 2008-02-23 | Won |
| 966 | 1086 | 33% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 933 | 1055 | 33% | 2008-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1027.6 vs 1051.9 has a 46.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).