Hammer and Nail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1065 | 980 | 62% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 992 | 1150 | 29% | 2020-02-20 | Tied |
| 1064 | 1216 | 29% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1103 | 866 | 80% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1047 | 48% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1159 | 45% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1066.5 vs 1076.1 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).