Enter Dragan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
1037 | 1015 | 53% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
1051 | 740 | 86% | 2015-06-10 | Won |
1067 | 929 | 69% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
1017 | 998 | 53% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
871 | 1100 | 21% | 2011-07-09 | Won |
1086 | 1091 | 49% | 2009-01-02 | Won |
994 | 1157 | 28% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1038.6 has a 49.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).