Enter Dragan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 707 | 89% | 2015-06-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 932 | 69% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 924 | 74% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-07-09 | Won |
| 1102 | 1092 | 51% | 2009-01-02 | Won |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1030.6 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).