The Last Fifteen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-01-19 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1004 | 50% | 2023-12-15 | | Won |
| 876 | 1062 | 26% | 2019-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2013-10-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2013-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-02-11 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-06-12 | | Won |
| 1041 | 1242 | 24% | 2009-07-03 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1022 | 68% | 2008-05-15 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 993.6 vs 1056.8 has a 41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).