The Last Fifteen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (6 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian/Russian (NKVD)): 15
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
879 | 1108 | 21% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
897 | 977 | 39% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
994 | 1068 | 40% | 2013-02-11 | Lost |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 949.2 vs 1047.5 has a 36.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).