Clash At Ponyri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1096 | 47% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1032 | 74% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 1062 | 44% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1100 | 45% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 1152 | 891 | 82% | 2010-11-06 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1313 | 30% | 2010-08-04 | Won |
| 993 | 1110 | 34% | 2010-03-15 | Tied |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2008-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.5 vs 1083 has a 47.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).