The Umbrella Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1102 | 38% | 2024-01-14 | Won |
| 912 | 1146 | 21% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1413 | 35% | 2015-03-18 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2013-12-31 | Tied |
| 1100 | 871 | 79% | 2011-12-08 | Lost |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2006-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1024.6 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).