The Umbrella Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 1034 | 37% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1066 | 41% | 2024-01-14 | Won |
| 888 | 1186 | 15% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1423 | 33% | 2015-03-18 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1186 | 36% | 2013-12-31 | Tied |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2011-12-08 | Lost |
| 1034 | 694 | 88% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2006-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1021.1 has a 51.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).