The Umbrella Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (9 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2024-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1077 | 40% | 2024-01-14 | | Won |
| 901 | 1252 | 12% | 2021-11-19 | | Lost |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1435 | 8% | 2015-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2013-12-31 | | Tied |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2011-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 695 | 91% | 2009-02-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 827 | 73% | 2006-04-07 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 996.9 vs 1044.7 has a 43.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).