Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (10 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (German): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
953 | 924 | 54% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
1111 | 1111 | 50% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
971 | 1037 | 41% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
917 | 935 | 47% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
919 | 1093 | 27% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
1007 | 1093 | 38% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
1047 | 1227 | 26% | 2009-03-09 | Lost |
1073 | 1093 | 47% | 2009-01-06 | Won |
936 | 936 | 50% | 2008-08-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 986.7 vs 1060.7 has a 39.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).