Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 993 | 58% | 2024-10-03 | Won |
| 1185 | 1048 | 69% | 2024-07-02 | Won |
| 832 | 1223 | 10% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 852 | 1009 | 29% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1107 | 65% | 2023-03-30 | Won |
| 1006 | 927 | 61% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 975 | 1037 | 41% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 918 | 926 | 49% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 712 | 1151 | 7% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 971 | 1078 | 35% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1078 | 47% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 1047 | 1228 | 26% | 2009-03-09 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1010 | 59% | 2009-01-06 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2008-08-12 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1132 | 53% | 2008-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1006.7 vs 1081.2 has a 39.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).