Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (10 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 879 | 1003 | 33% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 952 | 62% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1081 | 1136 | 42% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 939 | 64% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1036 | 42% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1047.1 vs 1023.7 has a 53.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).