Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 924 | 1019 | 37% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 956 | 58% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1070 | 1127 | 42% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1077 | 939 | 69% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 854 | 1038 | 26% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 961 | 1077 | 34% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1060 | 69% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 1263 | 45% | 2009-06-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1051.6 has a 48.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).