Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (10 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 957 | 60% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 873 | 1063 | 25% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1026 | 940 | 62% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 939 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1035 | 62% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 979 | 1028 | 43% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1018 | 69% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1073 | 1078 | 49% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1018.5 has a 53.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).