Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (10 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 877 | 1062 | 26% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1026 | 998 | 54% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1105 | 1115 | 49% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1037 | 939 | 64% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1037 | 61% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 979 | 1037 | 42% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1058 | 1127 | 40% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1039.7 vs 1029.5 has a 51.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).