Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1013 | 69% | 2020-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-01-22 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2020-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 940 | 60% | 2019-10-10 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1167 | 37% | 2017-03-04 | | Won |
| 1080 | 938 | 69% | 2016-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-07-01 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1080 | 34% | 2011-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1022 | 74% | 2009-09-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2009-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2008-09-28 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1044.5 has a 50.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).