Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2020-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-01-22 | | Lost |
| 928 | 1035 | 35% | 2020-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 966 | 56% | 2019-10-10 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2017-03-04 | | Won |
| 1098 | 938 | 72% | 2016-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-07-01 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1098 | 31% | 2011-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2009-09-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2009-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2008-09-28 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1041 has a 50.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).