Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (10 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1016 | 44% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 922 | 1044 | 33% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1026 | 887 | 69% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1105 | 1163 | 42% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 939 | 59% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1035 | 62% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1002 | 47% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1014 | 75% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1093 | 1083 | 51% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1018.3 has a 54.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).