The Head of the Mace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (13 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 42
Defender wins (Polish): 53
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 964 | 49% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1204 | 1025 | 74% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1153 | 37% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1203 | 31% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
| 943 | 987 | 44% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 950 | 1018 | 40% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 801 | 980 | 26% | 2011-12-03 | Won |
| 1006 | 1039 | 45% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1242 | 21% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
| 975 | 1209 | 21% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
| 851 | 1029 | 26% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1036 | 49% | 2008-09-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 988.2 vs 1072.8 has a 38.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).