The Bulge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (10 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 42
Defender wins (American): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1043 | 1065 | 47% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
1009 | 983 | 54% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
916 | 1131 | 22% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
892 | 1175 | 16% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
987 | 1027 | 44% | 2017-07-01 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
1068 | 982 | 62% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
865 | 1093 | 21% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
1197 | 1089 | 65% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
1108 | 614 | 94% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1019.8 vs 1027.2 has a 48.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).