Going to New York!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (30 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 25
Defender wins (American): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1159 | 917 | 80% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
987 | 1083 | 37% | 2022-07-10 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
1051 | 881 | 73% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
1002 | 933 | 60% | 2021-07-04 | Lost |
1051 | 1113 | 41% | 2021-06-03 | Lost |
858 | 1004 | 30% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
982 | 964 | 53% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
945 | 925 | 53% | 2021-05-18 | Won |
964 | 982 | 47% | 2021-05-14 | Won |
1078 | 982 | 63% | 2021-05-12 | Lost |
982 | 964 | 53% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
1016 | 982 | 55% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
1143 | 1115 | 54% | 2020-12-02 | Won |
989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
1040 | 1051 | 48% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
1429 | 945 | 94% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
975 | 964 | 52% | 2020-03-30 | Lost |
964 | 975 | 48% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
1051 | 1152 | 36% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
1046 | 1051 | 49% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
901 | 881 | 53% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
881 | 901 | 47% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-20 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-20 | Lost |
1429 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
1035 | 1032 | 50% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
1040 | 1025 | 52% | 2010-12-22 | Lost |
1001 | 1069 | 40% | 2010-02-20 | Lost |
871 | 1003 | 32% | 2008-09-16 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1023.4 vs 1005.5 has a 52.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).