Going to New York!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (Italian): 14
Defender wins (American): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (Italian): 2
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1273 | 1010 | 82% | 2025-02-14 | Won |
| 1010 | 1273 | 18% | 2025-02-05 | Lost |
| 1273 | 1010 | 82% | 2025-02-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 990 | 53% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 1173 | 917 | 81% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 980 | 969 | 52% | 2022-07-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 879 | 68% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
| 1002 | 983 | 53% | 2021-07-04 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1114 | 35% | 2021-06-03 | Lost |
| 892 | 1004 | 34% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 982 | 964 | 53% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 945 | 925 | 53% | 2021-05-18 | Won |
| 964 | 982 | 47% | 2021-05-14 | Won |
| 1096 | 969 | 68% | 2021-05-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 964 | 53% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 982 | 55% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1115 | 54% | 2020-12-02 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
| 1086 | 1010 | 61% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1431 | 945 | 94% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2020-03-30 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2020-03-30 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1010 | 56% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
| 1201 | 1152 | 57% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 901 | 879 | 53% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
| 879 | 901 | 47% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-20 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-20 | Lost |
| 1087 | 972 | 66% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1037 | 996 | 56% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1022 | 52% | 2010-12-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 886 | 66% | 2010-02-20 | Lost |
| 871 | 987 | 34% | 2008-09-16 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1008.8 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).