A Pleasant Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (22 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Lost |
948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
981 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
1000 | 981 | 53% | 2019-02-11 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
955 | 1000 | 44% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
955 | 1000 | 44% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
1080 | 1073 | 51% | 2015-09-29 | Lost |
952 | 1105 | 29% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
1060 | 1091 | 46% | 2013-08-21 | Lost |
1091 | 1060 | 54% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
1091 | 1060 | 54% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
1234 | 1168 | 59% | 2011-11-20 | Lost |
991 | 988 | 50% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
983 | 998 | 48% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2010-01-12 | Won |
913 | 1040 | 32% | 2009-10-26 | Lost |
1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2009-08-31 | Lost |
871 | 883 | 48% | 2009-02-12 | Won |
1168 | 1058 | 65% | 2009-01-03 | Tied |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1024 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).