Let's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (10 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1094 | 47% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 990 | 981 | 51% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 1171 | 45% | 2024-10-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1174 | 45% | 2024-05-04 | Lost |
| 919 | 878 | 56% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1078 | 39% | 2013-07-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2013-06-19 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1110 | 62% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1068.6 has a 48.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).