Let's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (11 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1095 | 40% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1159 | 1143 | 52% | 2024-10-01 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1159 | 48% | 2024-05-04 | Lost |
| 884 | 896 | 48% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1134 | 31% | 2013-07-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2013-06-19 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1110 | 62% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1010 | 1344 | 13% | 2009-04-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1097.4 has a 42.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).