Let's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (11 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-22 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-10-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2024-10-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1144 | 30% | 2024-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2024-05-04 | | Lost |
| 966 | 922 | 56% | 2022-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2013-07-30 | | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1126 | 62% | 2011-06-07 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1344 | 13% | 2009-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-03-21 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1079.3 has a 42.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).