Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (22 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (British): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1028 | 44% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1021 | 994 | 54% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1223 | 39% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 922 | 71% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 964 | 53% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1107 | 998 | 65% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1195 | 998 | 76% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1030 | 60% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1143 | 34% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 1226 | 13% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1225 | 955 | 83% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1026 | 1004 | 53% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1107 | 1078 | 54% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1101 | 65% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1342 | 613 | 99% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1127 | 1077 | 57% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1035 | 950 | 62% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 1070 | 1203 | 32% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1091 | 1017 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1075.5 vs 1037.6 has a 55.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).