Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (13 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (British): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1062 | 1168 | 35% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
1117 | 1168 | 43% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
1092 | 1049 | 56% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
949 | 1197 | 19% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
1095 | 816 | 83% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
1062 | 1058 | 51% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
1169 | 1097 | 60% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
1142 | 1227 | 38% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
1087 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
1093 | 1029 | 59% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1076.5 has a 49.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).