Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (19 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (British): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1059 | 51% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1223 | 39% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1044 | 921 | 67% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 932 | 964 | 45% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1130 | 1044 | 62% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 912 | 1154 | 20% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1018 | 81% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1163 | 1114 | 57% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1100 | 55% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1115 | 1233 | 34% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1045 | 51% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1084.5 has a 43.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).