A Promise Fulfilled
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (4 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-09-10 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2010-12-31 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1192 | 28% | 2008-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2008-10-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1036.5 vs 1092.5 has a 42.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).