Muhlenkamp's Miracle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1048 | 41% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1203 | 31% | 2015-11-13 | Won |
| 1173 | 1309 | 31% | 2014-11-01 | Lost |
| 975 | 1209 | 21% | 2009-01-27 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1192.3 has a 30.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).