A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (29 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Polish): 68
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1080 | 43% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1112 | 46% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 831 | 1099 | 18% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1320 | 973 | 88% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1154 | 35% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 1219 | 17% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1189 | 54% | 2017-05-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1219 | 25% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 967 | 70% | 2016-01-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1099 | 38% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1100 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 954 | 66% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1176 | 1162 | 52% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1057 | 58% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1152 | 36% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
| 1073 | 1046 | 54% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1074 | 45% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 987 | 1012 | 46% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
| 1049 | 1105 | 42% | 2009-01-24 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1277 | 20% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1159 | 31% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 1057 | 63% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1030 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1104.3 has a 44.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).