A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (29 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Polish): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2024-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-07-06 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-06-25 | | Lost |
| 820 | 1150 | 13% | 2022-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 973 | 88% | 2021-03-11 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2019-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2019-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2018-05-19 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1218 | 18% | 2017-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2017-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-11-30 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1218 | 30% | 2016-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2016-01-22 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1150 | 29% | 2015-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2014-03-03 | | Won |
| 983 | 1101 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 945 | 67% | 2013-06-27 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1136 | 54% | 2012-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1060 | 61% | 2012-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1214 | 28% | 2010-10-07 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2010-07-25 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2009-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1012 | 49% | 2009-06-19 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1077 | 50% | 2009-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2008-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 968 | 64% | 2008-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1211 | 25% | 2008-09-23 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2008-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1087.4 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).