A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (26 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Polish): 65
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 841 | 1100 | 18% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1307 | 972 | 87% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 948 | 1219 | 17% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1248 | 24% | 2017-05-28 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 1219 | 26% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1079 | 959 | 67% | 2016-01-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1100 | 38% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1066 | 62% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1098 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 954 | 66% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1175 | 1154 | 53% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1058 | 57% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1141 | 37% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
| 1116 | 1044 | 60% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1013 | 51% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1259 | 21% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1052 | 48% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1106.3 has a 44.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).