The Hellenic Expedition
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (6 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek / New Zealand): 10
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 896 | 58% | 2025-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2020-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1212 | 1060 | 71% | 2018-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-03-23 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1047 | 39% | 2008-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2008-08-31 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1052.3 has a 48.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).