Under the Northern Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (7 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 15
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 969 | 41% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1095 | 46% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1057 | 40% | 2020-07-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1194 | 33% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1141 | 34% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 999.4 vs 1053.3 has a 42.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).