Retrained and Rearmed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (Slovakian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1125 | 1160 | 45% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1010 | 46% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1218 | 943 | 83% | 2019-09-02 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1101 | 65% | 2017-06-17 | Won |
| 1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2015-10-15 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2015-09-27 | Lost |
| 1131 | 982 | 70% | 2015-09-04 | Tied |
| 1019 | 1109 | 37% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1134 | 1003 | 68% | 2010-10-17 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1170 | 59% | 2010-04-20 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2009-11-21 | Lost |
| 995 | 943 | 57% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1140 | 54% | 2009-10-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1120 | 43% | 2009-08-29 | Won |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 2009-07-29 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1174 | 34% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1099.7 vs 1047.9 has a 57.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).