Retrained and Rearmed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (Slovakian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1126 | 1159 | 45% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 980 | 1010 | 46% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1179 | 1135 | 56% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1217 | 942 | 83% | 2019-09-02 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1100 | 71% | 2017-06-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2015-10-15 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1072 | 60% | 2015-09-27 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2015-09-04 | Tied |
| 1019 | 1109 | 37% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 1003 | 63% | 2010-10-17 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1168 | 62% | 2010-04-20 | Won |
| 1024 | 1009 | 52% | 2009-11-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1023 | 45% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1103 | 905 | 76% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1140 | 54% | 2009-10-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1123 | 42% | 2009-08-29 | Won |
| 1109 | 1089 | 53% | 2009-07-29 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1260 | 25% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1103.9 vs 1062 has a 56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).