Something to Prove
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Yugoslavian (NOVJ)): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 983 | 1028 | 44% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 924 | 1158 | 21% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2014-05-03 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1175 | 45% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1032 | 51% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
| 962 | 1126 | 28% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1092 | 49% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 1169 | 1121 | 57% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054 vs 1087.3 has a 45.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).