Something to Prove
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27
Defender wins (Yugoslavian (NOVJ)): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 991 | 70% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
1063 | 1030 | 55% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
1009 | 1158 | 30% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
1117 | 1035 | 62% | 2014-05-03 | Lost |
1162 | 1176 | 48% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1065 | 924 | 69% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
1133 | 1091 | 56% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
962 | 1127 | 28% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
1123 | 1092 | 54% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
999 | 1141 | 31% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
1171 | 1070 | 64% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1077.9 vs 1069.3 has a 51.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).