Something to Prove
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (13 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Yugoslavian (NOVJ)): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
992 | 985 | 51% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
1108 | 1036 | 60% | 2014-05-03 | Lost |
1095 | 1141 | 43% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
989 | 1204 | 22% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
1131 | 1037 | 63% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
924 | 1126 | 24% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
1140 | 1108 | 55% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1076.5 has a 44.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).