Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (30 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (Polish): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1044 | 47% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1018 | 873 | 70% | 2024-06-19 | Won |
| 1150 | 1142 | 51% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1027 | 48% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 956 | 1046 | 37% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 909 | 57% | 2023-02-02 | Lost |
| 946 | 954 | 49% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 909 | 956 | 43% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1196 | 47% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1130 | 47% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1020 | 48% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1020 | 48% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 988 | 997 | 49% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 938 | 956 | 47% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1196 | 53% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 881 | 1067 | 26% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1144 | 43% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2011-02-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 1004 | 58% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 956 | 59% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1118 | 31% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 940 | 956 | 48% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1025.8 vs 1056.1 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).