Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (31 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (Polish): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2025-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 841 | 73% | 2024-06-19 | D | Won |
| 1182 | 1092 | 63% | 2024-06-08 | D | Lost |
| 989 | 999 | 49% | 2024-06-01 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1045 | 68% | 2023-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2023-02-02 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-12-22 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2022-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1121 | 53% | 2021-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 995 | 61% | 2020-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 995 | 61% | 2020-10-10 | | Lost |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2020-04-25 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1174 | 21% | 2018-06-16 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1127 | 63% | 2017-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1159 | 58% | 2017-12-12 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1085 | 37% | 2017-10-09 | | Won |
| 992 | 1085 | 37% | 2017-10-09 | | Won |
| 876 | 1071 | 25% | 2015-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2014-12-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-10-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2013-09-28 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2011-05-14 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2011-02-06 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1004 | 69% | 2009-12-05 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1174 | 31% | 2009-08-01 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1090 | 32% | 2009-07-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2009-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1057.9 has a 47.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).