Rehearsal for Crete
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand / Australian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 943 | 59% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1152 | 1136 | 52% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
| 959 | 994 | 45% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1033 | 1005 | 54% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1111 | 1096 | 52% | 2010-10-01 | Won |
| 1155 | 1116 | 56% | 2010-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071.9 vs 1054 has a 52.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).