Rehearsal for Crete
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand / Australian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2026-06-28 | Won |
| 1110 | 948 | 72% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1125 | 1109 | 52% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
| 961 | 966 | 49% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1033 | 1110 | 39% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1127 | 1092 | 55% | 2010-10-01 | Won |
| 1128 | 1030 | 64% | 2010-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1086 vs 1057.4 has a 54.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).