A Winter Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (19 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 27
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1159 | 45% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1136 | 969 | 72% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 965 | 1175 | 23% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1043 | 951 | 63% | 2018-07-20 | Won |
| 1002 | 984 | 53% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 999 | 50% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1220 | 957 | 82% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
| 884 | 912 | 46% | 2015-11-30 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1081 | 55% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 984 | 1002 | 47% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
| 1291 | 1220 | 60% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-12-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1036 | 65% | 2011-09-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 957 | 56% | 2009-08-04 | Won |
| 1071 | 1178 | 35% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 1990-08-22 | Tied |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1038 has a 53.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).