A Winter Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (19 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 27
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1127 | 48% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1135 | 968 | 72% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 951 | 1171 | 22% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 951 | 61% | 2018-07-20 | Won |
| 937 | 1061 | 33% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 937 | 999 | 41% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1256 | 960 | 85% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
| 927 | 914 | 52% | 2015-11-30 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1081 | 55% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1061 | 985 | 61% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1210 | 61% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1017 | 53% | 2012-12-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1041 | 64% | 2011-09-10 | Lost |
| 937 | 960 | 47% | 2009-08-04 | Won |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 985 | 1061 | 39% | 1990-08-22 | Tied |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1056.9 vs 1039.5 has a 52.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).