A Winter Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (19 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 19
Defender wins (German): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1136 | 52% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1116 | 965 | 70% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1046 | 951 | 63% | 2018-07-20 | Won |
| 903 | 1161 | 18% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 999 | 43% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1257 | 959 | 85% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
| 952 | 910 | 56% | 2015-11-30 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1083 | 54% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1264 | 53% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-12-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2011-09-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 959 | 49% | 2009-08-04 | Won |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 1990-08-22 | Tied |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1042.9 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).