Disaster on the Dnieper Loop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-07-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1131 | 28% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1148 | 1129 | 53% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2013-05-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 910 | 67% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1039 has a 48.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).