Disaster on the Dnieper Loop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1070 | 38% | 2025-07-29 | Won |
| 977 | 1003 | 46% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 960 | 60% | 2013-05-05 | Won |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1070 has a 46.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).