Der Letzte Geburtstag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 936 | 68% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 930 | 64% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 1184 | 936 | 81% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 958 | 1253 | 15% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1177 | 45% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 918 | 1106 | 25% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1035 | 46% | 2010-05-16 | Won |
| 1148 | 1340 | 25% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1059 | 50% | 2009-12-30 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1244 | 22% | 2009-10-29 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1020 | 78% | 2009-10-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 973 | 57% | 2009-10-23 | Won |
| 1086 | 1073 | 52% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1083.2 has a 47.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).