Der Letzte Geburtstag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1117 | 47% | 2025-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 986 | 58% | 2023-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2016-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1182 | 44% | 2010-10-07 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1103 | 32% | 2010-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2010-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2010-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2010-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2010-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1004 | 50% | 2009-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2009-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2009-10-29 | | Won |
| 1019 | 973 | 57% | 2009-10-23 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1062 | 55% | 2009-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1099.5 has a 43.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).