Encircle This!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (20 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Russian): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1070 | 41% | 2025-03-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1101 | 44% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 960 | 1131 | 27% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1058 | 43% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 974 | 67% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1220 | 960 | 82% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1052 | 47% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 989 | 1039 | 43% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 984 | 60% | 2010-04-21 | Won |
| 1343 | 1032 | 86% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1085 | 41% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1208 | 23% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1263 | 52% | 2009-10-10 | Won |
| 989 | 1141 | 29% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059.5 vs 1070 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).