Encircle This!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (17 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1192 | 19% | 2025-03-13 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1132 | 53% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1073 | 53% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1276 | 976 | 85% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1086 | 43% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 1166 | 1039 | 68% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1209 | 36% | 2010-04-21 | Won |
| 1019 | 1073 | 42% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1140 | 31% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
| 994 | 1188 | 25% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1019 | 70% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1077.1 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).