Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (19 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 55
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1055 | 45% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1058 | 47% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1120 | 987 | 68% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1020 | 1059 | 44% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1072 | 1043 | 54% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1130 | 53% | 2010-11-05 | Won |
| 1182 | 1162 | 53% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1121 | 1037 | 62% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 978 | 1162 | 26% | 2010-08-02 | Won |
| 987 | 1162 | 27% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1169 | 1313 | 30% | 2010-05-26 | Won |
| 1100 | 1144 | 44% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1205 | 1157 | 57% | 2010-02-24 | Won |
| 910 | 1118 | 23% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 1152 | 1011 | 69% | 2009-10-04 | Won |
| 968 | 1157 | 25% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1072.3 vs 1101.2 has a 45.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).