Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (16 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 36
Defender wins (German): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1039 | 1012 | 54% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
1034 | 1076 | 44% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
1121 | 1003 | 66% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
1019 | 1057 | 45% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
1116 | 1063 | 58% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
964 | 1095 | 32% | 2010-08-02 | Won |
973 | 1095 | 33% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
1169 | 1307 | 31% | 2010-05-26 | Won |
1097 | 1005 | 63% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
1152 | 925 | 79% | 2010-02-24 | Won |
910 | 1108 | 24% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
961 | 925 | 55% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1067.9 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).