Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (20 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 56
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1164 | 28% | 2025-07-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2023-07-07 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1025 | 55% | 2020-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2018-11-03 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-03-10 | | Won |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2011-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2010-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2010-11-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2010-10-05 | | Won |
| 977 | 1136 | 29% | 2010-08-02 | | Won |
| 987 | 1136 | 30% | 2010-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2010-05-26 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2010-03-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2010-03-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2010-02-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2009-10-05 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1045 | 63% | 2009-10-04 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2009-08-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2009-08-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1082 has a 42.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).