Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (20 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 40
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1015 | 51% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1123 | 40% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1120 | 974 | 70% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1020 | 1058 | 45% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1045 | 65% | 2010-11-05 | Won |
| 1183 | 1151 | 55% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1123 | 1028 | 63% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 978 | 1151 | 27% | 2010-08-02 | Won |
| 987 | 1151 | 28% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1168 | 1333 | 28% | 2010-05-26 | Won |
| 1100 | 1143 | 44% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1204 | 1141 | 59% | 2010-02-24 | Won |
| 911 | 1070 | 29% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 1152 | 996 | 71% | 2009-10-04 | Won |
| 999 | 1018 | 47% | 2009-08-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1141 | 26% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1071.9 vs 1086.3 has a 47.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).