Sporck's Eleven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (26 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2025-06-09 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1126 | 57% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 992 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-10-30 | Lost |
| 1224 | 969 | 81% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1014 | 50% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1058 | 1138 | 39% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
| 1180 | 1174 | 51% | 2022-02-19 | Tied |
| 974 | 1136 | 28% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2018-01-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 1058 | 39% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1117 | 35% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 929 | 878 | 57% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
| 1071 | 1154 | 38% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1223 | 28% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1045 | 74% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1096 | 34% | 2012-01-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1105 | 44% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 950 | 60% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 1065 | 50% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1253 | 38% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
| 1198 | 1263 | 41% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 1243 | 1171 | 60% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2009-08-11 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1099.6 has a 46.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).