Sporck's Eleven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (26 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1029 | 45% | 2025-06-09 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1125 | 48% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2023-10-30 | Lost |
| 1076 | 959 | 66% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1090 | 1055 | 55% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
| 1227 | 1165 | 59% | 2022-02-19 | Tied |
| 974 | 1132 | 29% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2018-01-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 937 | 965 | 46% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
| 1070 | 1155 | 38% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1223 | 28% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1044 | 74% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2012-01-09 | Lost |
| 992 | 1167 | 27% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 998 | 53% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1060 | 1065 | 49% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1219 | 43% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
| 1200 | 1263 | 41% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 1175 | 1171 | 51% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2009-08-11 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1060 | 66% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1105.6 has a 43.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).