Sporck's Eleven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (25 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 53
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-06-09 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1143 | 53% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1002 | 51% | 2023-10-30 | Lost |
| 1203 | 968 | 79% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1183 | 1211 | 46% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
| 1217 | 1143 | 60% | 2022-02-19 | Tied |
| 974 | 1135 | 28% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 805 | 1118 | 14% | 2018-01-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1055 | 45% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 939 | 885 | 58% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 1153 | 38% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1215 | 27% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1045 | 74% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2012-01-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1084 | 47% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 1032 | 48% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1048 | 1075 | 46% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1333 | 28% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
| 1236 | 1170 | 59% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2009-08-11 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1048 | 75% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1096.6 has a 45.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).