Sporck's Eleven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (23 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2025-06-09 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1152 | 48% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1036 | 48% | 2023-10-30 | Lost |
| 1248 | 984 | 82% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1055 | 45% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1219 | 1210 | 51% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
| 1264 | 1141 | 67% | 2022-02-19 | Tied |
| 951 | 1116 | 28% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1116 | 58% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2018-01-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1058 | 39% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 938 | 952 | 48% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 1154 | 38% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1121 | 39% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 1223 | 1044 | 74% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 986 | 1154 | 28% | 2012-01-09 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1031 | 54% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 920 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1169 | 1310 | 31% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
| 1189 | 1131 | 58% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1085.5 vs 1086.4 has a 49.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).