Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (44 on the archive and 144 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 96
Defender wins (Chinese): 91
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 994 | 50% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 997 | 998 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
| 974 | 894 | 61% | 2024-01-30 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1023 | 51% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1055 | 1062 | 49% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 894 | 895 | 50% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1103 | 63% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 972 | 1164 | 25% | 2022-06-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1085 | 48% | 2022-05-08 | Won |
| 1084 | 992 | 63% | 2022-02-18 | Won |
| 1007 | 944 | 59% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 950 | 957 | 49% | 2020-09-07 | Won |
| 1065 | 985 | 61% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 1067 | 997 | 60% | 2017-08-21 | Lost |
| 962 | 1229 | 18% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1057 | 65% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1279 | 962 | 86% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1072 | 693 | 90% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1174 | 29% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1068 | 58% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 944 | 1034 | 37% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1340 | 1056 | 84% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1067 | 41% | 2014-12-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1041 | 48% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
| 1110 | 1037 | 60% | 2013-05-24 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1006 | 59% | 2013-03-26 | Lost |
| 1067 | 964 | 64% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 972 | 62% | 2012-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1106 | 35% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1138 | 45% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 962 | 989 | 46% | 2011-09-03 | Won |
| 1090 | 1123 | 45% | 2011-08-31 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1053 | 66% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2011-01-25 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1045 | 49% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 947 | 62% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 935 | 63% | 2010-09-18 | Won |
| 1066 | 1034 | 55% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1043.4 vs 1033.3 has a 51.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).