Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Chinese): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
928 | 956 | 46% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
1084 | 1009 | 61% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
869 | 1219 | 12% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
981 | 952 | 54% | 2024-01-30 | Lost |
1014 | 1010 | 51% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
952 | 919 | 55% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
1248 | 1116 | 68% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
1019 | 1157 | 31% | 2022-06-08 | Lost |
1119 | 1116 | 50% | 2022-05-08 | Won |
1092 | 920 | 73% | 2022-02-18 | Won |
1009 | 944 | 59% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
903 | 1006 | 36% | 2020-09-07 | Won |
1079 | 986 | 63% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-08-21 | Lost |
949 | 1244 | 15% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
1165 | 1044 | 67% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
1257 | 949 | 85% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
1140 | 697 | 93% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
1003 | 1136 | 32% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
924 | 1029 | 35% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
1310 | 1051 | 82% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
1004 | 1014 | 49% | 2014-12-04 | Lost |
1089 | 1041 | 57% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
1110 | 1036 | 60% | 2013-05-24 | Lost |
1066 | 1008 | 58% | 2013-03-26 | Lost |
1014 | 964 | 57% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
1058 | 973 | 62% | 2012-03-05 | Won |
1001 | 1113 | 34% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
949 | 1166 | 22% | 2011-09-03 | Won |
1154 | 1117 | 55% | 2011-08-31 | Lost |
1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
1036 | 1047 | 48% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
1089 | 946 | 69% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
1089 | 935 | 71% | 2010-09-18 | Won |
1056 | 1029 | 54% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1035.9 has a 52.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).