Mai Phu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 36
Defender wins (French): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 933 | 59% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1127 | 36% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1320 | 993 | 87% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 946 | 1046 | 36% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1189 | 29% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 1214 | 26% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1036 | 62% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1060 | 67% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1052 | 982 | 60% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 1109 | 22% | 2016-02-09 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2015-05-31 | Won |
| 1158 | 980 | 74% | 2013-03-11 | Won |
| 1154 | 928 | 79% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1194 | 1152 | 56% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1115 | 1247 | 32% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1080.2 vs 1029.3 has a 57.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).