Mai Phu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (French): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 952 | 46% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1133 | 33% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1123 | 44% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1320 | 993 | 87% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 950 | 1063 | 34% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1193 | 28% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 1214 | 26% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1028 | 63% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1060 | 69% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 982 | 60% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 1124 | 21% | 2016-02-09 | Won |
| 937 | 1131 | 25% | 2015-05-31 | Won |
| 1145 | 993 | 71% | 2013-03-11 | Won |
| 1154 | 928 | 79% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1050 | 693 | 89% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 693 | 89% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1196 | 1152 | 56% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 999 | 65% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1145 | 998 | 70% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1127 | 1247 | 33% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1075.9 vs 1035 has a 55.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).