Mai Phu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (21 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (French): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 903 | 975 | 40% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 947 | 1165 | 22% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1307 | 993 | 86% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1053 | 38% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1177 | 30% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1041 | 61% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1068 | 55% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1250 | 1313 | 41% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 982 | 59% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 892 | 1125 | 21% | 2016-02-09 | Won |
| 984 | 1125 | 31% | 2015-05-31 | Won |
| 1186 | 994 | 75% | 2013-03-11 | Won |
| 1150 | 927 | 78% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1086 | 694 | 91% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1086 | 694 | 91% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1197 | 1140 | 58% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1186 | 1057 | 68% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1181 | 1300 | 34% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1089.6 vs 1054.7 has a 55.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).