Mai Phu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (French): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 985 | 36% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 947 | 1167 | 22% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1122 | 44% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1292 | 993 | 85% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1050 | 38% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1203 | 27% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1002 | 66% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1060 | 67% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 982 | 61% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 1124 | 21% | 2016-02-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 1118 | 38% | 2015-05-31 | Won |
| 1217 | 993 | 78% | 2013-03-11 | Won |
| 1154 | 928 | 79% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 693 | 89% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1060 | 693 | 89% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1196 | 1152 | 56% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 1107 | 999 | 65% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 1048 | 73% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1163 | 1257 | 37% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1084.9 vs 1039.3 has a 56.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).