Sugar Cane Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (16 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (Filipino): 31
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Filipino): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2026-03-20 | Won |
| 1040 | 1044 | 49% | 2026-03-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 942 | 950 | 49% | 2024-07-23 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1077 | 60% | 2024-01-25 | Tied |
| 1077 | 1004 | 60% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1029 | 49% | 2021-09-10 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1143 | 40% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 904 | 67% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 828 | 80% | 2018-06-17 | Won |
| 906 | 1006 | 36% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1079 | 74% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1058 | 62% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1022.3 has a 56.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).