Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (24 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 49
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1037 | 57% | 2024-10-17 | | Won |
| 1085 | 992 | 63% | 2024-03-06 | | Won |
| 965 | 1133 | 28% | 2024-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1134 | 39% | 2023-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2021-05-22 | | Won |
| 1128 | 966 | 72% | 2021-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2021-02-16 | | Won |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2020-09-26 | | Won |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2020-09-26 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1000 | 81% | 2020-07-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2018-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1182 | 32% | 2018-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2017-07-29 | | Won |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2016-12-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2015-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2015-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2012-09-21 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1120 | 51% | 2012-09-18 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2012-08-15 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2012-07-07 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2010-02-06 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1088.5 vs 1041.4 has a 56.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).