Thrilla in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1010 | 38% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1047 | 1066 | 47% | 2015-05-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 851 | 80% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 880 | 60% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1011 | 1117 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 997.6 has a 55.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).