Thrilla in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 904 | 1015 | 35% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1283 | 1338 | 42% | 2015-12-13 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1024 | 64% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1045 | 1071 | 46% | 2015-05-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1188 | 28% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 875 | 61% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1057 | 1032 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064 vs 1074.8 has a 48.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).